North Korea’s Shell game
Interceptor Shield Report
Nathan J Hunt
August 27, 2008
The decision by the regime of North Korea on August 26, 2008 to suspend disablement of its nuclear reactor and halt nuclear disarmament since it has not yet been removed from the terror sponsor list, raises the question how committed is North Korea really on disarmament?
The Government of China who hosted the talks on nuclear disarmament in North Korea had a lot at stake in the six nation talk’s and had been applying pressure on the government of North Korea to move the talks forward between the six nations involved to ensure a smooth entrance into the Olympics and to show the status of China in the region as a power broker. But North Korea may now feel it is an opportune time to halt disablement of its reactor since it does not have to worry about embarrassing its long time ally China.
If North Korea was only cooperating with the disarmament until the Olympics in China ended and if that’s the case its willingness to do so to make sure things went smoothly for China, brings up the worrying possibility that the reactor was not so important to the North’s nuclear program and was not the only part of the program. Western Intelligence agencies have long suspected the north of possessing hidden nuclear development and enrichment sites. With access to the North restricted it is hard to prove that the reactor being disabled was the only site used in the development of nuclear weapons.
Second with presidential election campaigning well underway in the United States for both Republican and Democratic parties and not many months left under the current administration, North Korea may be hoping to delay disarmament talks and implementation further until after the general election and see how the next president will handle negotiations and if it can get more out of talks with the next elected administration.
How the world’s leading nations react to North Korea’s sudden backing down from its disarmament agreement is yet to be seen, but tensions between cold war opponents, the United States and Russia are rising. Russia may as a way of getting back at the US for backing Georgia and moving to base missile defense systems in former Warsaw pact countries, decide to back North Korea and veto any sanction or resolutions against North Korea for failing to comply with nuclear disarmament agreements.
Until North Korea comes clean and releases full information on their nuclear program they are doing nothing more than a magician shell game only showing a little of their program as they shuffle and hide the rest.
